2015 Cricket World Cup simulation

THE 2015 Cricket World Cup is now less than a month away.

ICC-Cricket-World-Cup-2015[1]In preparation for one of the biggest sporting events of the year I decided to run my own simulation of the tournament. Some of the results will not shock you, but some certainly will…and guess who (perhaps predictably) is on the wrong end of the biggest shock.

For each match I randomly selected the result from a past full O.D.I. encounter between the two opposing nations. I always gave co-hosts Australia and New Zealand home advantage unless their only previous match(es) against their opponent were played elsewhere, and in the instance of both nations never having played an O.D.I. against each other I randomly picked the winner.

To make my selections I used the number generator on random.org and got the past matches from the database on howstat.com. I discounted Net Run Rate.

Group A:

  • New Zealand vs. Sri Lanka – New Zealand won by 65 runs.
  • Australia vs. England – England won by 57 runs.
  • New Zealand vs. Scotland – New Zealand won by 8 wickets.
  • Afghanistan vs. Bangladesh – Afghanistan won by 32 runs.
  • New Zealand vs. England – England won by 4 wickets.
  • Australia vs. Bangladesh – Australia won by 8 wickets.
  • Afghanistan vs. Sri Lanka – Sri Lanka won by 129 runs.
  • England vs. Scotland – No Result.
  • Afghanistan vs. Scotland – Scotland won by 6 wickets.
  • Bangladesh vs. Sri Lanka – Bangladesh won by 4 wickets.
  • New Zealand vs. Australia – New Zealand won by 3 wickets.
  • England vs. Sri Lanka – Sri Lanka won by 2 runs.
  • Australia vs. Afghanistan – Australia won by 66 runs.
  • Bangladesh vs. Scotland – Bangladesh won by 22 runs.
  • New Zealand vs. Afghanistan – New Zealand won.
  • Australia vs. Sri Lanka – Sri Lanka won by 1 wicket.
  • Bangladesh vs. England – Bangladesh won by 5 runs.
  • Scotland vs. Sri Lanka – Sri Lanka won by 183 runs.
  • New Zealand vs. Bangladesh – New Zealand won by 102 runs (D/L).
  • Afghanistan vs. England. Afghanistan won.
  • Australia vs. Scotland. Australia won by 200 runs.

Group A Final Standings

Pos.

Team

P

W

L

T

NR

Pts.

1

New Zealand

6

5

1

0

0

10

2

Sri Lanka

6

4

2

0

0

8

3

Australia

6

3

3

0

0

6

4

Bangladesh

6

3

3

0

0

6

5

England

6

2

3

0

1

5

6

Afghanistan

6

2

4

0

0

4

7

Scotland

6

1

4

0

1

3

Australia is ranked above Bangladesh because of their 8 wicket victory.

Group B:

  • South Africa vs. Zimbabwe – South Africa won by 5 wickets.
  • Pakistan vs. India – Pakistan won by 6 wickets.
  • Ireland vs. West Indies – West Indies won by 8 wickets (D/L).
  • U.A.E. vs. Zimbabwe – U.A.E. won.
  • Pakistan vs. West Indies – Pakistan won by 1 run.
  • India vs. South Africa – No Result.
  • West Indies vs. Zimbabwe – West Indies won by 4 wickets.
  • Ireland vs. U.A.E. – Ireland won.
  • South Africa vs. West Indies – South Africa won by 7 wickets.
  • India vs. U.A.E. – India won by 71 runs.
  • Pakistan vs. Zimbabwe – No Result.
  • Ireland vs. South Africa – South Africa won by 42 runs.
  • Pakistan vs. U.A.E. – Pakistan won by 9 wickets.
  • India vs. West Indies – India won by 7 wickets.
  • Pakistan vs. South Africa – Pakistan won by 8 runs.
  • Ireland vs. Zimbabwe – Zimbabwe won by 156 runs.
  • India vs. Ireland – India won by 9 wickets (D/L).
  • South Africa vs. U.A.E. – South Africa won by 169 runs.
  • India vs. Zimbabwe – India won by 3 wickets.
  • U.A.E. vs. West Indies – West Indies won.
  • Ireland vs. Pakistan – Pakistan won by 7 wickets (D/L).

Group B Final Standings

Pos.

Team

P

W

L

T

NR

Pts.

1

Pakistan

6

5

0

0

1

11

2

India

6

4

1

0

1

9

3

South Africa

6

4

1

0

1

9

4

West Indies

6

3

3

0

0

6

5

Zimbabwe

6

1

4

0

1

3

6

Ireland

6

1

5

0

0

2

7

U.A.E.

6

1

5

0

0

2

India is ranked above South Africa on alphabetical order after their match ended without a result. Ireland is ranked above U.A.E. because of their victory.

Quarter-Finals:

  • Sri Lanka vs. South Africa – South Africa won by 92 runs (D/L).
  • Pakistan vs. Bangladesh – Bangladesh won by 62 runs.
  • India vs. Australia – Australia won by 4 wickets.
  • New Zealand vs. West Indies – New Zealand won by 3 wickets.

Semi-Finals:

  • Australia vs. New Zealand – New Zealand won by 2 wickets.
  • South Africa vs. Bangladesh – South Africa won by 7 wickets.

The Final:

  • New Zealand vs. South Africa – South Africa won by 5 wickets.

Stories from the tournament:

  • South Africa finally break their World Cup hoodoo to become World Champions for the first time.
  • New Zealand win both A.N.Z.A.C. battles and get to their first final.
  • Bangladesh stun Sri Lanka, England and Pakistan to reach the semis, harking back to Kenya’s dream run in 2003.
  • The group stages are dominated by the Test nations, but…
  • England’s fantastic start (beating both co-hosts) leads to a no result against Scotland, a narrow defeat to Sri Lanka, a shock-narrow defeat to Bangladesh, culminating in the shock of the tournament – losing to Afghanistan.
  • As well as beating England, Afghanistan won their debut World Cup match.

Please remember that this was a simulation and not the real thing. But having said that I do believe South Africa will win the 2015 Cricket World Cup.

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About Alex Crouch 92

I'm a lifelong Formula One fan who also enjoys classic rock/heavy metal music.
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